Real estate flatline

The relentless climb of Nanaimo property values paused for a breather last year. Assessment notices went out to all Nanaimo property owners last week and many are finding the value little changed from 2011.

Average values for single-family homes, based on property assessments done by the agency on July 1 are down 1.27% from 2010.

Values rose slightly in several areas, but most neighbourhoods saw values down.

The most noticeable drops are clustered in north-end neighbourhoods, though central and south Nanaimo did not go unscathed.

One central-Nanaimo area saw average values down more than 10%.

A decade-long period of almost continuous growth was sidelined in 2011 by events outside local market forces. Housing sales slipped, especially at the higher end of the scale, where there are fewer buyers. Property values that doubled during the 2000s stopped rising. For the smart buyer, it creates a rare opportunity to get an ocean-view or waterfront property.

It isn’t the first time Nanaimo’s housing industry has skipped a beat and it is the nature of real estate markets to run in cycles.

“You look at the pressures in the market – unemployment, challenges with new builders, with HST, overall higher-end market challenges, it’s got to come out,” said Jim Stewart, Vancouver Island Real Estate Board past-president.

Realtors saw 2011 end with an average home selling price of $362,680, just $305 less than a year earlier, or essentially unchanged.

“Late last spring there was waiting with anticipation for the outcome of the HST vote, and (then) everyone was waiting to know who the next premier was to set the agenda for the year. Then in the fall everyone was concerned about the world market. Is Greece going to fail? You look at little Vancouver Island, there are places elsewhere in Canada prices are down doubledigit,” Stewart said.

The 2012 assessment roll puts a total value on all Nanaimo property at $12.742 billion, the bulk of which, $10.769 billion, is residential.

Those numbers are down slightly from 2011′s $12,683 billion total and $10.786 billion in residential. Those totals include about $1 billion in churches, downtown revitalization, pollution-control and other taxexempt property classes.

The B.C. Assessment Authority divides the city into 17 neighbourhoods, and the numbers it produces for each neighbourhood are what matter to homeowners.

Excluding apartments, vacant lots and condominiums, Jingle Pot/College Heights and Hawthorne saw average property values rise the most, at 1.14%. Average home values rose by less than 1% in Chase River/Cinnabar, Uplands/Sunshine Ridge/ Country Club, Hammond Bay and the extended downtown core areas.

The most noticeable drop was in the Commercial Industrial Bowen/Northfield area, where assessments fell 10.28%.

All other areas saw average values drop, with decreases of greater than 4% assessed in Townsite/Hospital, Dover/Dickenson, Long Lake North Island Highway and Protection Island areas.

For most homeowners, this year will be easier than most to figure out their property taxes simply by looking at their property’s assessed value.

Because the average value is so close to 2011, anyone whose assessment is close to last year’s can expect to pay close to the tax rate set by city council this spring.

“Assessments are unchanged, so it should be relatively easy to tell,” said Bill MacGougan, Nanaimo assessor.

While the HST and a sluggish economy are both hurting sales in higher-end properties classes, some see it as an opportunity to buy that dream property.

“When you think the average waterfront home is $800,000, if you get something for less than $800,000 it’s probably a pretty good buy,” Stewart said. Those deals exist because “there’s not that many buyers in that range.”

First-time buyers would be wise to make 2012 a year to renovate, rather than sell.

“If you bought in the last year or so it’s going to be challenging for you to exit on the profit side,” Stewart said.

http://www.canada.com/Real+estate+flatline/5983621/story.html

Blog to Guest Blog
Puerto Morelos Dentist Crowns Implants Cancun Playa del Carmen Mexico Cosmetic Dentistry
Furnasmans One Hour Heating
www.crossfireconsulting.net

CREA alters early 2011 housing forecast

Housing sales in Canada is expected to be much better than what have been speculated before. This is because of the increasing consumer confidence that will partially offset the awaited deferment of interest rate hikes, this is how the Canadian Real Estate Association sees it.

CREA had earlier predicted that the national average home price in 2011 would fall by 1.3 per cent from last year to $326,000. This is contrary to what they have recently released that there will be 439,900 existing homes sold in 2011, down 1.6 per cent from 2010, but better than the nine per cent decline that CREA had forecast at the end of last year. Recent reports on building permits and housing starts are two indicators why the change in forecast has been made.

Canada Mortgage and Housing Corp. reported Tuesday that the pace of new-home construction in Canada increased slightly last month, rising to 170,400 units, up from 169,000 in December on a seasonally adjusted annual rate. That puts the country on a pace for about 10 per cent fewer housing starts than last year.

A moderation in housing starts is a sign that supply is contracting in line with reduced demand, which could avoid an unhealthy glut of available houses on the market if demand declines when interest rate hikes are announced.

CREA predicted Tuesday that some sales that would have been made later in the year will likely occur in the first quarter, as a result of the new rules. A previous change in mortgage rules last year contributed to extremely strong first-quarter demand as buyers sought to beat the deadline.

“This is expected to produce a milder version of the volatility in sales activity that we saw last year which resulted from additional transitory factors,” said CREA’s chief economist Gregory Klump.

Last year, sales were also pushed ahead to the first part of the year as buyers in two provinces — British Columbia and Ontario — rushed to avoid a switch to the harmonized sales tax on July 1.

Read more: http://www.cbc.ca/money/story/2011/02/08/crea-forecast-2011.html#ixzz1Djy9l7Fy
www.crossfireconsulting.net

Blog Traffic Exchange Related Websites
  • Consumer Confidence in United States has Increased The level of consumer confidence in the United States rose unexpectedly in November, rebounding from a record low. This surprising change apparently came as concerns about the rising rate of unemployed coupled with tumbling financial...
  • Investing: How to be a smart investor in a Tumultuous Economy - Part III Greetings from Cedar Crest, NM. Today, is the third part on How to be a smart investor in a Tumultuous Economy by Paul Lufkin and an interesting video by CNN interviewing John Williams. Paul's post...
  • The Credit Crunch and Your Home - Raise its Value With the recent economic crisis, a lot of individuals are worried about property values in light of the current events. While nothing can be said to predict just how everything can pan out, there are...
  • How To Reduce A Trillion Dollar Deficit Stanford professor John Taylor had an alarming op-ed piece in the Financial Times on the Trillion Dollar deficits "I believe the risk posed by this debt is systemic and could do more damage to the...
  • Escaping The Rat Race Here's another inspiring story on getting out of the rat race.How I escaped the rat raceCarole Dobson as told to Duncan HoodFrom the May 2006 issue of MoneySense magazineI used to work full time at...

Votes of Confidence

Recently-released WinnipegREALTORS® March MLS® market results and the Canadian Real Estate association’s national MLS® statistic provide more proof that Winnipeg and Manitoba are doing better than most Canadian jurisdiction during today’s tougher economic times.

WinnipegREALTORS® reported the greater Winnipeg reported the greater Winnipeg market had only a three per cent decline in housing sales and was virtually even with condo activities when compared to the same month last year. First-quarter results showed condo sales were slightly ahead last year’s pace, while home unit sales were only off by seven per cent. The average house price for the first quarter is up five per cent over 2008.

As of Manitoba, the CREA March market release indicates that on a seasonally-adjusted basis, MLS® sales were up from February levels and the keystone province set a new record for the average selling price in March. Continue reading

Blog Traffic Exchange Related Websites
  • The Cost of Running a PC 24 Hours a Day I saw an interesting question over at slashdot on the topic of how many companies actually had their employees power down their PC's overnight. The site in question had about 8000 PCs about half of...
  • China Buying Gold On The Sly! I just read this interesting article in the Financial Times. Seems like China has tired of US dollars and is looking to get rid of them. Beijing Bets on Bullion  By Patti Waldmeir in Shanghai...
  • Did Bank of America Open an Account Without My Permission? Since college, I've had Bank of America checking and savings accounts (they gave me a $10 bonus for opening the savings account, so obviously it was worth it despite the miniscule interest rate!) Well, one...
  • Another Sunny Day In my recent posts where I share my excitement regarding the future of solar power, I talk about the potential cross over point where the cost of electricity, specifically from solar, is lower than the...
  • Why Would Banks Cap Debit Card Transactions? Please check out my most recent post on WiseBread: 5 Ways to Give Cash As a Gift. It's a fun article that features some fun alternatives to the standard cash and a card. There's been...